As the 2026 Osun governorship election draws closer, one truth cannot be denied: there is no miracle, no magic, and no last-minute strategy that can save Osun APC. Even President Bola Tinubu himself has reportedly given up on the partyโs chances in the state. APCโs foundation in Osun has long been eroded, and as the Bible reminds us, โIf the foundation is destroyed, what can the righteous do?โ In Osun, APCโs foundation is already crumbling, and no memo, zoning calculation, or federal influence can reverse the tide.
Voices like Ismail Omipidan, producing memos urging APC to zone to Osun West, reflect a party desperate for relevance. Yet the reality on the ground is stark: ADC, under the visionary leadership of Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola, has already entrenched itself across Osun West, Central, and East. ADC is home to the Omoluabi Progressive tendency, the real grassroots politicians whose years of work, blood, and sweat built what little remains of APCโs influence โ only to see it squandered by mismanagement, infighting, and weak leadership. These are politicians who understand communities, mobilize voters, and have proven that real politics is earned on the ground, not in Abuja offices or in opinion pieces.
The challenge for APC is existential. Its overreliance on memos from Omipidan and late-stage federal support cannot mask the partyโs fractures. ADC continues to consolidate influence, extending its networks across all three senatorial districts. Even Osun East, once considered APC territory, is firmly feeling ADCโs presence. The implosion in Osun APC is imminent; the party may debate zoning, rotation, and strategy endlessly, but the voter trust, organizational strength, and grassroots muscle belong to ADC.
In conclusion, Osun 2026 will not be decided by memos, press releases, or federal pressure. It will be decided by those who built the political foundation from the ground up, earned the peopleโs trust, and maintain active, credible structures across West, Central, and East. ADC and Rauf Aregbesola are far ahead, while APC teeters on the edge of implosion, facing the consequences of its neglect, overconfidence, and reliance on advisers like Ismail Omipidan. The message is clear: Osun APC is finished in the state, and ADC stands firmly on the ground, ready to deliver.




