*APC ALIMOSHO FEDERAL CONSTITUENCY PRIMARIES: WHO IS DESPERATE?*
The APC Primaries to fill in House of Assembly and House of Representatives members in Alimosho has come and gone with the results scattered on social media including video evidence. However, the process still need to be xrayed.
Let’s begin by understanding that Alimosho Federal Constituency has 2 main factions which include the faction in control of the structure (G18) led by Abdullahi Enilolobo while the other faction led by Hon Joke Orelope was made visible by the forceful distribution of party offices and appointments to her members in a 55/45% sharing formula.
With this sharing formula. Enilolobo’s faction still have an upper hand with her 55% control. This same formula was used to assign party delegates on the Constituency. As a result, of the eleven wards in the Constituency where 5 LGA delegates were elected which gives 55 in all, 30 members belong to the Enilolobo’s faction while only 25 is controlled by Orelope’s faction. With this sharing, who will be desperate?
In the case of Assembly, in Alimosho 01, Enilolobo has 19 while Orelope has 16 since there are 7 wards with 5 delegates each.
In Alimosho 02 where there are only 4 wards, Enilolobo got 11 while Orelope is left with only 9.
With this analysis, unless Enilolobo’s faction loss her delegates to Orelope, Enilolobo will definitely win the Primaries. So, again who is desperate?
Unfortunately, while Enilolobo’s camp, focus all her energy on just a single aspirant, Orelope’s camp is laden with numerous aspirants. Another reason to give Enilolobo’s camp has a upper hand.
As a result, lobbying is the only viable means for especially the Orelope’s camp. But interestingly enough, Enilolobo’s camp is doing more of the lobbying probably because they concentrate on just 1 aspirant instead of the numerous aspirant that made lobbying directionless for the Orelope’s camp. So again, who is desperate?
This is, according to observation, the reason for the aggressiveness of the Orelope’s camp using every means to scuttle the election because it is clear, that even if they are together, they still can’t win.
Who even gave them the right to be aggressive? The undemocratic sharing formula because all things being equal, through election process, Orelope’s camp can’t win even an ex-officio position of a ward because in all, they are not more than 10% of the entire Alimosho Federal Constituency.
The aggressiveness however increased after the Alimosho 01 and 02 Primaries which indicated that the entire 19 delegates of Enilolobo in 01 voted same aspirant while the 16 of Orelope was shared between 2 aspirants.
In Alimosho 02, there seem to be no difference. Rather Enilolobo’s group was able to lobby four more from Orelope’s faction giving them 15 votes while the remaining 5 votes were again shared between some of their aspirants.
From here, it is clear that Orelope’s only hope is the possibility of having Acme to force their aspirants on the Constituency as means of settlement just like Acme had done in appointing Supervisors and SA as well as force some LGA Chairmen on some of the LCDA i.e Mosan-Okunola, Agbado Oke-odo and Igando-Ikotun LCDAs.
When this plan doesn’t seem to be coming, investigation showed that, it is what led to the use of harassment and use of thugs by the Orelope’s group with the hope that if they ensure that the Primaries never hold, there won’t be any choice for the Constituency than Acme’s settlement plan of forcing some of there people on the structure without a democratic voting especially for the House of Representatives which is the only one left at the time.
*It will be recalled that Hon Olufemi Adebanjo, Ejigbadero and Idris Balogun had been reported on separate write-ups on how they kept planning to disrupt the Primaries long before now*. This report probably made them lay low until they saw that they have lost the Primaries at constituency 01 and 02 for Assembly. Therefore the need to resume the plan became very important for the Federal House of Representatives Primaries else they will have to settle for nothing.
There first step was to withdraw some of the delegates they can control from participating and prevent the Primaries from holding at all. Afterall, even if they participate, they still can’t win.
Reports indicated that if not for the presence of the security operatives, the House of Representatives Primaries wouldn’t have hold at all based on their plans. However, when eventually the Primaries was held and results declared based on available delegates and the next thing is for the officials to go and submit same results, Idris Balogun who is also one of the aspirants had to reinforce to stop them. Leading the reinforcement is Zury Boxer while Ogunlaye was at the fore-front of repelling the thugs in support of the peaceful election process in his usual style of talking to all of them.
According to a credible source, Ogunlaye was shot by the security team of Idris Balogun aka Kafata who is one of the aspirants for the House of Representatives. Immediately this happened they needed to cover their mess especially since Zury Boxer was recognised by those supporting the process. Zury Boxer was also shot by same Kafata security leading to the death of 2 people. With this, the thugs and the security team of Kafata left the venue thereby making it easy for the security operatives invited for the election initially to guard the officials out of the venue for the submission of the results.
This made clear the reason for the social media noise as a viable means to compliment the yet to be successful efforts they have been making i.e seeing the election cancelled now that it has been held and the result doesn’t favour them.
It also became clear that displaying the pictures of the death victims on social media is not for sympathy because Zury Boxer is there thugs sent to scuttle the Primaries while Ogunlaye is against there move. With this, it adjudged that Zury is for them and Ogunlaye is against them. This definitely won’t help there mission. To now ensure the continuation of the mission, they had to bring in a picture of someone who was never in or around the election arena named Cole. With this they can say that they actually loss 2 people.
We have given this account so that the leaders from State to federal are aware of the athroticies of the Orelope’s group in killing the peace Alimosho has been enjoying due to the undemocratic sharing formula.
And to make it clear to the state leaders especially that Orelope’s group don’t deserve anything. If you continue to force them into power, you are indirectly forcing peace out of Alimosho.
It’s clear that they can’t manage anything. Even the 45% slots you forced on Alimosho in there favour couldn’t be managed. They ended up losing some of it to Enilolobo’s group.
*Restore the peace in Alimosho by calling them to order now. Alimosho needs to genuinely sympathise with the dead victims not this social media charades.*
*CONCERNED PROGRESSIVE PEOPLE OF ALIMOSHO*
